How soon would you like your MS diagnosed?

 

The MS prodrome; how real is it? 


Multiple sclerosis has a preclinical phase during which irreversible damage occurs. This phase is typically associated with subtle symptoms and signs that aren’t enough to warrant a diagnosis of MS and we, therefore refer to this as the MS prodrome. Identifying a prodrome is important as it may allow you to diagnose MS earlier. With the emergence of disease-modifying therapies identifying patients in the preclinical phase of the disease provides the potential to improve disease outcomes; the earlier you modify the course of MS the greater will be the impact on the long-term trajectory. In addition, preservation of brain reserve should reduce the inevitable impact that ‘normal ageing’ has on MS outcome over your life.


Helen Tremlett’s group in British Columbia have cleverly used health administrative and clinical databases in Canada, show increased healthcare utilization prior to the development of a first demyelinating event, compatible with MS. The so-called rate ratios increased steadily between five years and one year before the first demyelinating disease claim, which is an indicator that the increase healthcare utilization was due to the MS prodrome. The study findings support other published observations describing an MS prodrome.


It should not be a surprise that physician or neurologist generated codes that were associated with MS included disorders of the central and peripheral nervous system, disorders of the eye and cerebrovascular disease. Hospital and prescription data were poor predictors, however, hospitalizations related to the urinary system or spinal cord diseases, or prescriptions for urinary antispasmodics or anti-vertigo preparations, were associated with 2 to 3-fold higher odds of developing MS in the future.


MS in common with other neurodegenerative diseases also has a latent, or pre-disease, state prior to the preclinical and clinical phases. The latency phase refers to the so-called ‘at risk’ period prior to the onset of focal inflammatory lesions that defines MS pathologically. Migration studies, between areas of high and low prevalence, indicate that from exposure to the putative environmental risk factors and the onset of the disease is somewhere between 10 and 20 years. Similarly, pathological studies indicate that the preclinical phase of MS could potentially be decades. A large Danish series found that approximately a quarter of cases with pathological evidence of MS at post-mortem were never diagnosed with MS in life. Either these subjects had asymptomatic MS or their symptoms were put down to some other ailment.


In general, MS begins before the first clinical attack; the majority of patients presenting with a clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) have older, inactive, lesions on their MRI that does not account for the CIS. Familial studies demonstrate that some siblings, including unidentical and identical twins, have lesions on MRI compatible with demyelination and/or the presence of oligoclonal IgG bands in their CSF; this is despite the majority of these siblings never going onto to develop MS. The MS endophenotype is the term that we use to capture the ‘at risk’, ‘asymptomatic’, ‘prodromal’ and ‘clinical’ phases of MS.


Redefining MS to capture the different phases of the disease should allow us to study the impact of DMTs on both the asymptomatic (radiologically isolated syndrome – RIS) or prodromal phases. Recent studies have demonstrated that even at these earlier stages of MS there is evidence of end-organ or brain damage.


There is an ongoing debate whether, or not, we should extend the diagnosis of MS into this asymptomatic, and now the prodromal, phases of the disease and to offer these people DMTs. I have little doubt about this and hope the next rendition of the McDonald MS diagnostic criteria will extend the diagnosis of MS into the asymptomatic phase of the disease. Redefining when MS begins will allow us to test whether very early intervention in the disease course improves long-term outcome rather than waiting for the disease to become symptomatic.

 
 

Högg et al. Mining healthcare data for markers of the multiple sclerosis prodrome. Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2018 Aug 8;25:232-240.


BACKGROUND: Previous studies suggest the existence of a prodromal period in multiple sclerosis, but little is known about the phenotypic characteristics. This study aims to characterize the multiple sclerosis (MS) prodrome using data mining analytics in the healthcare setting.



METHODS: We identified people with MS and matched general population controls using health administrative data in two Canadian provinces (British Columbia and Saskatchewan). Using a training dataset (66.6% of British Columbia’s cohort), L1 penalized logistic regression models were fitted to predict MS from physician and hospital encounters (via International Classification of Diseases [ICD] codes) and prescriptions filled (as drug classes) during the five years before the MS case’s first demyelinating event. Internal and external validation of identified predictors was performed using logistic regression on the remaining British Columbia (33.4%) and Saskatchewan data. Adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and Area under the Curve (AUC) metrics for the models’ predictive performance were reported.


RESULTS: We identified 8,669 MS cases and 40,867 controls. Good predictive performance was observed for physician data (internal/external validation AUC = 0.81/0.79). Physician-generated ICD codes that were associated with MS and validated in both provinces included disorders of the central and peripheral nervous system, disorders of the eye, and cerebrovascular disease (aOR = 1.3-7.0). Overall, hospital and prescription data showed very poor and poor predictive performance (internal/external validation AUCs = 0.54/0.55 and 0.66/0.61, respectively). However, hospitalizations related to the urinary system or spinal cord diseases, or prescriptions for urinary antispasmodics or anti-vertigo preparations, were associated with 2 to 3-fold higher odds of MS (aOR = 2.3-3.3).


CONCLUSIONS: Findings provide insight into the clinical characteristics of the MS prodrome. Diagnostic codes from physician encounters were capable of differentiating between MS cases and controls.


CoI: none in relation to this post

Walking, or Running, the Talk – ProfG does it

Regular exercise is good for you. Two week’s ago I did a post on setting up a national challenge on using the parkrun platform to raise awareness about exercise and to get the MS community behind exercise. The following are the results of the survey you completed.



The results are self-evident; we need to make this happen. 



I am smitten by #Run4MS as the proposed name for the initiative. It is catchy, it says exactly what it is for and the hashtag makes it ideal of using it on social media. 

You may have noticed that I am walking, or more correctly running, the talk; I completed my first parkrun on Saturday. I have already had some informal discussions with some of my team at Barts-MS and we will almost certainly be putting a team together a team to enter the challenge. 

I have now handed the ball over to the MS Trust and Parkrun to make this happen. I am not sure of the exact format, but the initiative is likely to take the form of a national challenge to get the MS community walking and running. We will use the Parkrun platform, simply because it exists and the MS ambassadors of Parkrun contacted us to do something with them.

Parkruns are 5km runs that are held each Saturday in a local park near you and allow you to complete 5km and log an official time. The challenge will be to get every MS team in the UK, and possibly the world, to sign-up for the challenge and collect 5km runs. The team with the most Parkruns after a certain period of time, say a 6- or 12-month period, will win the challenge. The challenge has to be over a prolonged period of time to get people exercising consistently. The is not a one-off thing; the real objective is to get people exercising regularly and to stay exercising longterm. 

Some of you will be saying, but I can’t run. I know there are some of you who can’t run but then there will be others who are simply unfit. For you, I would suggest starting the ‘couch to 5K’ programme that is designed to get you off the couch and running 5km in just nine weeks. The plan involves three runs a week with a rest day in between and a different running schedule each week. The NHS is promoting this using an app developed by the BBC, the programme or app builds you up gradually with a mix of running and walking.


The good thing about making this initiative into a challenge is that it will build teams (people are competitive) and it will increase your participation. 
Let’s do it! 

Thank you. 

CoI: I am a runner, albeit one with a failing right hip

DIY SlideShare site

Dear Blog Reader


I must apologise; my SlideShare site has been disabled by LinkedIn. I have been told that many of my slides include copyrighted material. Strictly speaking, this is correct. However, LinkedIn doesn’t understand that academics often use each other’s materials for teaching/academic purposes without getting specific agreements in place to address copyright issues. I have therefore been forced to move off the SlideShare platform and to improvise. I have had to set-up my own site (Prof G’s Slides) to allow you access to my slides after my talks. I hope my DIY tech solution works. 



The following is my first presentation that has been uploaded on the site: Copenhagen 23-Aug-2018


Thanks

Prof G

P.S. The great tragedy is that all the blog posts that are dependent on embedded material from SlideShare will be spoilt. If there is one lesson to learn from this experience is that you shouldn’t rely on one technology platform. 

Pre-natalizumab vs. after-natalizumab

I view MS as having two eras, the pre-natalizumab era and after-natalizumab era. Natalizumab has been a transformational therapy for so many reasons and this study provides a little more evidence to support this position. 


I have always said that flipping the pyramid is the best way to maximise outcomes for a population of MSers. This study shows that MSers on high-efficacy DMTs are much more likely to work and when they do work their work is more productive. 

The Australians, where this study was done, are fortunate to have all high-efficacy DMTs 1st-line. Their healthcare system leaves the decision-making up to the HCP and patient and they don’t prescribe strict rules. If I had MS I would want to be living in Australia. 

This study also supports my demand to Biogen to please get the EMA marketing authorisation for natalizumab changed; we need it first-line for MSers who are JCV seronegative. Please! 


Chen et al. Effects of multiple sclerosis disease-modifying therapies on employment measures using patient-reported data. JNNP 2018; http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/jnnp-2018-318228

Background: The direct comparative evidence on treatment effects of available multiple sclerosis (MS) disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) is limited, and few studies have examined the benefits of DMTs on employment outcomes. We compared the effects of DMTs used in the previous 5 years on improving the work attendance, amount of work and work productivity of people with MS.

Methods: The Australian MS Longitudinal Study collected data from participants on DMTs usage from 2010 to 2015 and whether DMTs contributed to changes in employment outcomes. We classified 11 DMTs into three categories based on their clinical efficacy (β-interferons and glatiramer acetate as category 1; teriflunomide and dimethyl fumarate as category 2; fingolimod, natalizumab, alemtuzumab and mitoxantrone as category 3). Each DMT used by a participant was treated as one observation and analysed by log-multinomial regression.

Results: Of the 874 participants included, 1384 observations were generated. Those who used category 3 (higher efficacy) DMTs were 2–3 times more likely to report improvements in amount of work, work attendance and work productivity compared with those who used category 1 (classical injectable) DMTs. Natalizumab was associated with superior beneficial effects on patient-reported employment outcomes than fingolimod (RR=1.76, 95% CI 1.02 to 3.03 for increased work attendance and RR=1.46, 95% CI 1.02 to 2.10 for increased work productivity).

Conclusions: Those using the higher efficacy (category 3) DMTs, particularly fingolimod and natalizumab, reported significant increases in amount of work, work attendance and work productivity, suggesting they have important beneficial effects on work life in people with MS.

ProfG    
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Guest Post: teenage girls and smoking

Barts-MS often takes in school students for work experience. We ask some of the students to take on small projects and to write reports. One of our research programmes is to prevent MS. Smoking is an important risk factor for developing MS; smokers have an approximately 50% higher risk of developing MS.



A large and increasing problem in the UK is teenage smoking, particularly amongst teenage girls. We, therefore, asked Amy Sankey, one of our work experience students, to explore this issue amongst her peers at her school. 

The following is Amy’s survey and report back. We were very impressed with Amy’s commitment and attitude and sincerely hope she achieves her aim of getting into her University of choice to study chemistry.  



Survey Summary

A survey was conducted into the level of knowledge teenage girls had of autoimmune diseases and the impact of smoking on the risk of MS. The goal was to determine whether attention should be directed to campaigns on reducing levels of smoking in girls. To this end, they were also asked how much of an impact they felt this knowledge had on them personally and how much they felt it would impact others.

The results of the survey show that teenagers are much less aware of how smoking increases the likelihood of MS than of the other consequences. Almost everyone (97%) is aware of the increased likelihood of lung cancer from smoking. However, fewer than a third of teenage girls knew that smoking increases the likelihood of MS. There was also a significant lack of understanding of what MS or even autoimmune disease in general. These limitations of current knowledge mean that it is worthwhile in increasing campaigns which targets high school age students to increase their knowledge of both the risk posed by smoking and the dangers of smoking in relation to developing MS. The responses given show that at least some students have found this information to have an impact on them personally. The majority think it will have at least some impact on levels of teenage smoking in general.

It is therefore concluded that some form of a targeted campaign is launched within schools or to the general public to highlight the particular dangers of smoking in relation to developing MS. Many teenagers are now desensitised to hearing about how smoking causes cancer. Descriptions of the particular symptoms of MS and how these affect their lives may therefore have more of an impact than continuing to highlight the general dangers as is done currently. The results of the survey also showed that students with a greater level of knowledge about MS and also those who have a personal connection to a pwMS are less likely to consider smoking. Girls have a higher risk of MS than boys but the findings may also be applicable to boys. The overall goal is to reduce levels of teenage smoking in general.

The following is a detailed analysis of the results of the survey and suggestions for campaigns :



To conclude, the survey showed that teenagers currently have limited knowledge of MS as a disease and of how smoking impacts the likelihood of MS. There is also direct evidence from the survey that increased knowledge of MS as a disease and of these risks does discourage teenage girls from smoking, and therefore we can conclude that campaigns to increase awareness of both of the areas would be a worthwhile investment.

BIOGRAPHY



Amy Sankey is a 17-year-old student at North London Collegiate School who is planning on studying Chemistry at university. She is studying Higher Level Biology and Chemistry as part of her IB course. She undertook work experience with Professor Giovannoni last summer and has then carried out a survey into student knowledge of autoimmune diseases at her school, in order to work out how best to raise awareness of the risks of smoking in relation to MS and how to reduce levels of teenage smoking.

NHS@70: postcode prescribing and doing something about it

Today is the NHS’ 70th Birthday. Happy Birthday we love you! 



We know you are the best value for money health service in the world and that you try your best with limited resources. We want to pledge our support for you and help you make the next 70 years even better. 


At your heart you espouse several principles that are worth remembering and fighting for: 

1. Healthcare is a basic human right
2. Healthcare should be equitable; no matter who you are you should have access to the same level of care
3. Healthcare should be free at the point of access. 

We know your principles are being eroded and people with MS (pwMS) have highly variable access to care across the UK. Variance in MS Services, for example, access to and the prescribing of disease-modifying therapies, have been well documented by the MS Society, MS Trust and the Royal College of Physicians. This has been backed up by new data presented at the recent ABN meeting in Birmingham from the NHS England’s Bluteq database. 


We and others feel this is a problem for pwMS and is a barrier to improving MS outcomes. To address this problem we are holding a meeting of representatives from MS DMT prescribing centres across England and the UK. The aim of the meeting is to generate ideas and proposals to address and solve this problem. We envisage holding subsequent follow-on meetings to implement and test potential proposals developed as a result of this meeting. 


We have included the draft programme for discussion. If you have any suggestions please feel free to comment. Thank you. 




You can register for the meeting online. Please note that this is a closed meeting and due to limited resources we are limiting attendance to representatives from MS prescribing centres in the UK. Each centre can only send a maximum of 2 representatives. 

MS Brain Health newsletter – June 2018

Dear supporters 
Over the past month, we have presented MS Brain Health research at major conferences in Europe, the USA and Australia and learned more about the experiences of people living with MS in the USA. It has been great to meet some of you in person at these events, and we are pleased to welcome many new supporters!

Consensus standards presented at EAN 2018 
International consensus standards for the timing of key stages in MS care were presented in our focused workshop, Brain Health in MS: a catalyst for a new approach to management, at EAN 2018 in Lisbon this month. Over 150 attendees joined this interactive workshop and gave their responses to the new quality standards.
Professor Gavin Giovannoni, Dr Gisela Kobelt and Professor Jeremy Hobart gave presentations and participated in a lively Q&A session. “The standards should not be used as a means to criticize MS teams, but instead provide an opportunity for every MS clinic to strive for the highest level of care,” stressed Professor Hobart.
Read more
Latest MS Brain Health presentations available to download
Professional organizations in Australasia endorse the policy report
MS Nurses Australasia and the MS Neurology subspecialty group of the Australian and New Zealand Association of Neurologists have become the latest professional groups to officially endorse the policy report, Brain health: time matters in multiple sclerosis. We’re delighted that these groups have joined our other 46 endorsers.
Revisions to criteria used in the diagnosis of MS
Motivated by recent technological advances and new data on the diagnosis of MS, experts have refined the 2010 McDonald criteria – the widely used diagnostic criteria for MS. The experts hope that the updated criteria will facilitate early and accurate diagnosis of MS.
Read more
New! Dutch translations of short guides
We are delighted to announce that our guide for people with MS and nursing resource are now available in Dutch. Follow the links above, click ‘Download’ and select your language.

Please do share these resources with your Dutch-speaking colleagues and friends.

You can follow us on Twitter @MSBrainHealth to keep up with the latest news. Thank you for your continuing support!
Gavin Giovannoni, MD

Professor of Neurology and Chair of the MS Brain Health Steering Committee

On behalf of the MS Brain Health Steering Committee: Gavin Giovannoni, Peer Baneke, Helmut Butzkueven, Jodi Haartsen, Jeremy Hobart, Gisela Kobelt, Christoph Thalheim, Tony Traboulsee, Tim Vollmer and Tjalf Ziemssen
 

If this newsletter has been forwarded to you,
click here to subscribe to future issues.

Follow @MSBrainHealth on Twitter

Having trouble viewing the content of this post? View this post in your browser
MS Brain Health activities and supporting materials are funded by grants from Actelion, Celgene and Sanofi Genzyme and by educational grants from Biogen, F. Hoffmann-La Roche and Merck KGaA, all of whom have no influence on the content.

Editorial and administrative support for the MS Brain Health initiative is provided by Oxford Health Policy Forum, a not-for-profit community interest company registered in England and Wales (registration number: 10475240).

MS in the courtroom

We have made the case in the past that one of the ways healthcare professionals will begin to treat MS more actively is via the courts. In the meeting below we will be presenting a hypothetical case scenario of a patient who lost brain due to a delay in diagnosis and a delay in accessing a highly effective treatment. The consequences for this individual were profound and he is now suing the NHS and his neurologist for loss of earnings. 

The main purpose of the meeting is to review the evidence for treating MS early and effectively, i.e. applying all the management and treatment principles captured in our ‘Brain Health: Time Matters in MS’ policy document. The real value of this meeting for HCPs is not DrK and myself discussing the scientific or medical rationale for this strategy, but the legal perspective, in particular, the variance is MSology practice. When do you become an outlier, either an under-treater or an over-treater, and when do you expose yourself to a legal challenge from your patients?

If you are a card-carrying HCP you are welcome to attend. Due to ABPI rules, MSers can’t attend.  Tickets are limited and are being allocated on a first come first serve basis.  


THE EMBEDDED INVITATION HAS HAD TO BE REMOVED AS IT IS FOR HEALTH CARE PROFESSIONAL EYES ONLY. 


IT IS  QUITE AMAZING BUT THE ABPI GUIDELINES DON’T ALLOW PHARMA TO COMMUNICATE WITH PEOPLE WHO HAVE MS DIRECTLY. 


IF YOU ARE AN HCP AND NEED MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT ME BY EMAIL. THANK YOU.
ProfG    
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Walking-the-talk or not-walking-the-talk

You may know by now that ‘The Dream Team‘ completed the 3-peaks challenge in less than 24-hours yesterday. Well done. Their aim was to raise more than £5,000 for the MS Society. The MS Society is a remarkable organisation; an organisation the wider MS community could not manage without. They not only look after their members locally but take on very important national tasks such as lobbying, advocacy, education, setting the research agenda and supporting research. The MS Society, therefore, needs your support. If you haven’t done so already can you please help and make a small donation, it would be greatly appreciated? 

The Dream Team



I was planning to do the final peak with my crumbling hip, but my family won out. I had to stay in London to be around for my youngest daughter’s 18th Birthday Party. When your youngest child turns 18 and becomes an adult you realise you are a little bit further along life’s journey and when I set the next challenge to raise money for the MS Society later this year I will need to take age into account. Any suggestions? 

ProfG    
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News: NICE approves ocrelizumab

NICE considers ocrelizumab to be less effective than alemtuzumab. 



People with relapsing-remitting MS can only be treated with ocrelizumab if alemtuzumab is contraindicated or otherwise unsuitable. The latter is a very grey area and will be open to interpretation. My question is how does patient choice taken into account? NICE clearly does not think this is a priority; for NICE cost-effectiveness trumps patient safety and choice.


This appraisal does not refer to the primary progressive indication. If you think ocrelizumab has had a hard time in RRMS it is going to have an even harder time in PPMS. 



ProfG    
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