#ClinicSpeak: managing unrealistic expectations in relation to HSCT

We need a national debate about the use of HSCT to treat MS and we need to educate MSers about what to expect. #ClinicSpeak


I received an email from a colleague this week that stated:


“I saw a patient last week that I thought might be worth discussing on the blog. The patient had a self-funded AHSCT in Russia last year after doing badly on an injectable. She went into the transplant with the expectation she would be cured. A year after the transplant she has now developed a spinal cord relapse confirmed on MRI. To complicate matters her lymphocyte count is still around 0.8×10^9/L. She was absolutely devastated when I gave her the MRI results that the HSCT had not worked. It was worse for her than receiving the initial diagnosis of MS. I started my training initially in medical oncology. It reminded me of giving the news to young woman with breast cancer who had just finished six months of adjuvant chemo and at the end of treatment her scan showed new metastatic disease. This is not a situation I’ve encountered before but makes the point that although HSCT is a highly effective DMT, it is not a cure for MS as it is often sold to people travelling abroad to be treated.”



I think it is important to realise that until we know the cause of MS and how it drives MS disease activity we won’t be able to declare a victory over MS, i.e. say to someone that you have been cured. This is why I am always careful to use the term ‘potential cure’, simply because I am not 100% sure I know what causes MS. 


I get very upset when I hear stories such the one above. AHSCT is not a cure and a significant number of pwMS will relapse after having HSCT. NEDA rates at 3 years are about 75% and this figure will drop with time.



Please note there are a lot of Charlatans out there who promise pwMS a cure, take their money and are not around, or disappear, when the shit-hits-the-fan. To protect yourself you need to be careful. The following is a sensible information sheet that has been prepared by the MS Group in Bristol that explains what you need to do when exploring HSCT abroad.




I actively discourage my patients from going abroad for HSCT, because it is risky, expensive and you need follow-up post-HSCT. This is one of the reasons why Barts-MS have started offering it to our patients in London, but we have strict guidelines governing its use. Please note that the NHS does cover the costs of HSCT and MS is specifically mentioned in the NICE guidelines for bone marrow transplantation. In addition NICE is in the process of generating MS-specific guidelines to cover HSCT for RRMS. In short there is no reason for you to travel abroad. 



CoI: multiple

#ClinicSpeak & #PoliticalSpeak: ageing the other elephant in the room

Do you think payers, or even regulators, would dare to be ageist in relation to MS treatments? #ClinicSpeak #PoliticalSpeak

Age, in particular old age (> 50 years of age), is a poor prognostic factor for MS and for most other neurological disorders. The aged brain does not deal with insults very well. Why? Age chews up brain and cognitive reserve and hence the capacity for the brain to recover from attacks is limited. I am convinced that a large part of the treatment response in DMT trials is driven by recovery of function, which may explain why in almost all studies the older you are the less effective the DMT. This is particularly evident in progressive MS trials, for example in the rituximab, ocrelizumab and siponimod trials. The implications of this is that when one these drugs get to market will NICE, and other payers, dare look at the cost-effectiveness of these treatments in older pwMS and decide that it is simply not worth paying for DMTs if you are above a certain age. 



Guillemin et al. Older Age at Multiple Sclerosis Onset Is an Independent Factor of Poor Prognosis: A Population-Based Cohort Study. Neuroepidemiology. 2017 Aug 10;48(3-4):179-187.


BACKGROUND: Late-onset multiple sclerosis (LOMS) frequently features a primary progressive (PP) course, strongly predicting severe disability. In this population-based cohort, we estimated the prognostic role of age at multiple sclerosis (MS) onset, independent of PP course, on disability progression.

METHODS: The association of age at disease onset (adult, <50 years [AOMS], vs. late, ≥50 years [LOMS]) and time to Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score 4 and 6 was estimated by Cox regression modelling.

RESULTS: Among 3,597 patients, 245 had LOMS. Relapsing-remitting (RR) disease was less frequent with LOMS than AOMS (51.8 vs. 90.8%, p < 0.0001). PP course, LOMS and male gender predicted short time to EDSS 4 and 6. Worse outcome with LOMS (time to EDSS 4 and 6, HR 2.0 [95% CI 1.7-2.4] and 2.3 [1.9-2.9]) was independent of PP course or male gender. LOMS had greater impact on RR than PP disease (time to EDSS 4 and 6, HR 3.1 [2.3-4.0] and 4.0 [2.9-5.6]). Only LOMS predicted time from EDSS 4 to 6 (p < 0.0001).


CONCLUSIONS: Late onset MS was strongly associated with poor prognosis, independent of initial disease course, in predicting the disability progression along time.

CoI: multiple

#ThinkSpeak & #BrainHealth: treating your microbiome as a pet

It is that time of year when I seem to have time for rumination and reflection. #ThinkSpeak #BrainHealth

Last night I was at dinner with nine of my trainees who have recently left, or are about to, to continue with their career progression (please note progression as it is being used here denotes improvement).

We had some interesting discussion about the changes that are occurring to the practice of medicine and inevitably the conversation came down to AI (artificial intelligence) and algorithmic medicine. One of the other issues we touched on was the stress medics are under and despite knowing about bad behaviours a lot of us still self medicate to reduce stress. Too many medics smoke, drink too much, sleep and exercise too little, have poor diets, etc. If we can’t take control over our own lives how can we expect to give advice to our patients and expect them to take the advice seriously? This conundrum has been pinging around in my head for several years and is one of the motivations behind our #BrainHealth campaign. In response to this problem we are planning to launch a #BrainHealth competition at ECTRIMS in Paris where we will be asking MS centres, Pharma companies and other MS stakeholders to put forward teams of at least 7 people to compete over 100 days to see who which team can collect the most activity points. We hope by making this competitive we will get greater participation and at the same time they will be living examples to pwMS that it can be done. We are also proposing that the teams include pwMS. What do you think? At present we are proposing to use the Virgin Pulse platform to run the competition. Wouldn’t it be nice to see Barts-MS being beaten by a team from Australia?



I don’t think this competition will include diet. So what about diet? What can we do to improve the nation’s and our patients diets? 


I was looking at our dog this morning and thought about how much value he brings to our lives. Because we look after our dog by feeding him well and making sure his comfortable why we wouldn’t we do the same to pets living inside our body? This is when I thought of starting a relationship with my gut microbiome and to start treating it as a pet. If we did this we may be more disciplined about how we feed  it and look after it. After all we are what we eat and our gut microbiome sits at the interface. If we treat our microbiome well, by eating well, it will treat us well.  


#ClinicSpeak & #ResearchSpeak: healthcare inequality and mortality

Why should you die earlier because you live in the North of England? #ClinicSpeak #ResearchSpeak

As I get older I seem to be getting more political, more outraged and more upset by healthcare inequality. I posted on this topic last month. The paper below that has just been published, and was allover the news yesterday, demonstrates a country of two tales. If you live in the North of England you are destined to die prematurely. The paper concludes with the statement:

“This profound and worsening structural inequality requires more equitable economic, social and health policies, including potential reactions to the England-wide loss of improvement in premature mortality.”

Why is this relevant to MS? Because it plays out in the MS space as well; please see  ‘A Lottery of Treatment and Care’ document below from the MS Society. MS services, access to MS services, poor lifestyle (diet, exercise), comorbidities (other diseases) are only a few examples that are affected by inequality that will also impact on outcomes for people with MS and contribute to the North-South divide.  

When I have attended the MS Life meeting in Manchester in the past I would spend 1 or 2 days running an informal MS clinic. Attendees at the Manchester meeting, who tend to be from the North of England, would tell me stories about no, or limited, access to continence advisers, functional electric stimulation, MS nurse specialists, cognitive behavioural and other therapists, DMTs and much, much more. The problems are not because of the services provided by the specialist units in the North – they are excellent – but, it is an institutionalised problem of poor access to these units and low expectations from pwMS and their families. 

We as healthcare professionals working in the NHS should be ashamed of ourselves; ashamed to be presiding over such a disparity in health outcomes. I am going to ask Julia Pakpoor, who is a collaborator of ours, to look into mortality of MSers in England. I hypothesise that if you have MS and live in the North of England you are likely to die earlier. I hope I am proved wrong. 



Buchan et al. North-South disparities in English mortality 1965–2015: longitudinal population study.  J Epidemiol Community Health 2017;71:928–936.


Background: Social, economic and health disparities between northern and southern England have persisted despite Government policies to reduce them. We examine long-term trends in premature mortality in northern and southern England across age groups, and whether mortality patterns changed after the 2008–2009 Great Recession.


Methods: Population-wide longitudinal (1965–2015) study of mortality in England’s five northernmost versus four southernmost Government Office Regions – halves of overall population. Main outcome measure: directly age-sex adjusted mortality rates; northern excess mortality (percentage excess northern vs southern deaths, age-sex adjusted).


Results: From 1965 to 2010, premature mortality (deaths per 10 000 aged <75 years) declined from 64 to 28 in southern versus 72 to 35 in northern England. From 2010 to 2015 the rate of decline in premature mortality plateaued in northern and southern England. For most age groups, northern excess mortality remained consistent from 1965 to 2015. For 25–34 and 35–44 age groups, however, northern excess mortality increased sharply between 1995 and 2015: from 2.2% (95% CI –3.2% to 7.6%) to 29.3% (95% CI 21.0% to 37.6%); and 3.3% (95% CI –1.0% to 7.6%) to 49.4% (95% CI 42.8% to 55.9%), respectively. This was due to northern mortality increasing (ages 25–34) or plateauing (ages 35–44) from the mid-1990s while southern mortality mainly declined.


Conclusions: England’s northern excess mortality has been consistent among those aged <25 and 45+ for the past five decades but risen alarmingly among those aged 25–44 since the mid-90s, long before the Great Recession. This profound and worsening structural inequality requires more equitable economic, social and health policies, including potential reactions to the England-wide loss of improvement in premature mortality.


#NeuroSpeak: the Barts-MS Fellowship programme

Are  you interested in the Barts-MS fellowship? #NeuroSpeak #BartsMS #MSBlog


In response to a question concerning our Barts-MS fellowship programme I have embedded details about what it entails below. Please note that at present we don’t provide funding for these fellowships. Trainees wanting to join our centre have to be self-funding or apply for external funding. We can help trainees with their applications for the latter. Ideally, we like trainees to spend 12 months with us; it is very difficult to do any meaningful research in a period of less than 12 months. 


Blizard Institute, Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry

#ThinkHand & #SurveyResults: ocrelizumab for PPMS

It is clear how the MS community feels about ocrelizumab for PPMS #ClinicSpeak #ThinkHand


I have previously discussed the concerns many neurologists have about the risk-benefit ratio of ocrelizumab in PPMS. Ocrelizumab is a much more potent B-cell depleter than Rituximab, i.e. ~10x as potent. A 600-mg dose of ocrelizumab is ~6x more potent than 1,000-mg dose of rituximab. This may explain the efficacy difference between the two monoclonals; particularly if ocrelizumab is targeting the hard to get to meningeal and intrathecal B cells. 



After some of the comments on this blog we ran a survey to poll what pwMS thought about the ocrelizumab results. It is pretty clear that for pwMS ocrelizumab represents a real advance and the beginning of something very important for them. We now have something to build on. Let’s hope we see a large number of new trials exploring other DMTs in more advanced MS. What was once an intractable problem seems tractable. This has to be good news. 


It is interesting that only a minority of the survey respondents support a PPMSer protest. Why? 




CoI: multiple

#ClinicSpeak & #ThinkHand: stopping DMTs – are you salvageable?

Could the SALVAGE trial be something the NIHR and/or MS Society would fund? #ClinicSpeak #ThinkHand

At least once a month Barts-MS have a MDT (multidisciplinary team) meeting to discuss difficult cases. One of my colleagues presented a patient who was had advanced MS (EDSS 7.5 = wheelchair bound) who was still on interferon-beta. So in keeping with NHS England guidelines she stopped the interferon-beta. Three months later this patient presented with double-vision due a brain-stem relapse. An MRI with contrast showed multiple Gd-enhancing lesions indicative of reactivation of MS disease activity, or possibly rebound, post-interferon-beta. As this patient was not eligible to be restarted on a licensed DMT, we at the MDT recommended that the patient be offered off-label treatment with generic subcutaneous cladribine. Our position was that although the patient may be wheelchair-bound with advanced MS, she still had upper limb (arm & hand) and bulbar (swallowing and speech) function to try and preserve. This patient is not unique and almost every MSologist I know working in the NHS has similar cases. 


Since Thursday I have been thinking about this case and as NHS England get more militant with implementing their DMT stopping criteria we as a community need to do some proactive about this. I am therefore suggesting we do a randomised controlled trial to assess the efficacy of generic cladribine in patients with advanced MS? In essence as someone stops their existing DMT they are randomised to treatment with generic cladribine or placebo with the primary outcome being NEDA or disease progression as defined using upper limb function. We can make this an event driven trial and if someone reaches study end-point they can be unblinded and offered a course of cladribine if they were previously treated with placebo. If they had broken through on cladribine they could be offered a further course of treatment or another off-label salvage therapy. 


Should we at least try and salvage upper limb function in more advanced MS?

The real question is do we have equipoise to do this study? Please note that in a small French study below, of stopping DMTs in pwSPMS, 35% of the cohort had relapses, or MRI activity, in the follow-up period (~5 years). Similarly, in the MS-BASE study below, of 485 DMT-stoppers vs. 854 DMT-stayers followed for at least 3-years, time to confirmed disability progression was significantly shorter among DMT stoppers than stayers. The data from these two studies would indicate that we should ignore NHS England, because their stopping criteria are not evidence-based and give the patient the option of stopping their DMT or continuing with it. What do you think? 



FRENCH STUDY


Bonenfant et al. Can we stop immunomodulatory treatments in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis? Eur J Neurol. 2016. doi: 10.1111/ene.13181

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The benefits of immunomodulatory treatments in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) are unclear, calling into question their continuation. In the present observational study, we investigated the effect of treatment withdrawal on the clinical course of SPMS.


METHODS: We included 100 consecutive patients with SPMS who regularly attended our multiple sclerosis clinic. Inclusion criteria were (i) secondary progressive phenotype for at least 2 years, (ii) immunomodulatory treatment for at least 6 months and (iii) treatment stopped with no plans to switch to another. Clinical and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data before and after treatment discontinuation were assessed. Factors associated with relapses and/or MRI activity were identified.

RESULTS: Mean treatment duration was 60.4 ± 39.3 months, and mean follow-up duration after treatment withdrawal was 62.4 ± 38.4 months. The annualized relapse rate remained stable at 1 and 3 years after treatment withdrawal [0.09, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.05-0.17 and 0.07, 95% CI, 0.05-0.11, respectively], relative to the 3 years prior to treatment withdrawal (0.12, 95% CI, 0.09-0.16). Sixteen patients experienced a relapse and 19 had a gadolinium-positive MRI scan without relapse during follow-up. A gadolinium-positive MRI scan within the previous 3 years before treatment withdrawal and Expanded Disability Status Scale score of <6 were positively associated with relapse and/or MRI activity after discontinuation (P = 0.0004 and P = 0.03, respectively).

CONCLUSION: In this retrospective study, including a limited number of patients with SPMS, the annualized relapse rate remained stable after treatment withdrawal, relative to before treatment withdrawal. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm this result and provide evidence-based guidelines for daily practice.


MS-BASE STUDY

Kister et al. Discontinuing disease-modifying therapy in MS after a prolonged relapse-free period: a propensity score-matched study. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2016 Oct;87(10):1133-7.

BACKGROUND:  Discontinuation of injectable disease-modifying therapy (DMT) for multiple sclerosis (MS) after a long period of relapse freedom is frequently considered, but data on post-cessation disease course are lacking.


OBJECTIVES: (1) To compare time to first relapse and disability progression among ‘DMT stoppers’ and propensity-score matched ‘DMT stayers’ in the MSBase Registry; (2) To identify predictors of time to first relapse and disability progression in DMT stoppers.

METHODS: Inclusion criteria for DMT stoppers were: age ≥18 years; no relapses for ≥5 years at DMT discontinuation; follow-up for ≥3 years after stopping DMT; not restarting DMT for ≥3 months after discontinuation. DMT stayers were required to have no relapses for ≥5 years at baseline, and were propensity-score matched to stoppers for age, sex, disability (Expanded Disability Status Score), disease duration and time on treatment. Relapse and disability progression events in matched stoppers and stayers were compared using a marginal Cox model. Predictors of first relapse and disability progression among DMT stoppers were investigated using a Cox proportional hazards model.


RESULTS: Time to first relapse among 485 DMT stoppers and 854 stayers was similar (adjusted HR, aHR=1.07, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.37; p=0.584), while time to confirmed disability progression was significantly shorter among DMT stoppers than stayers (aHR=1.47, 95% CI 1.18 to 1.84, p=0.001). The difference in hazards of progression was due mainly to patients who had not experienced disability progression in the prebaseline treatment period.

CONCLUSIONS: Patients with MS who discontinued injectable DMT after a long period of relapse freedom had a similar relapse rate as propensity score-matched patients who continued on DMT, but higher hazard for disability progression.


CoI: multiple

#GuestPost & #ThinkHand: reaching out to people with more advanced MS

An in depth look at people with more advanced MS #GuestPost #ThinkHand


We are very fortunate to have an increasing number of people helping us with our #ThinkHand campaign. Some of you have already met RMH who kindly did a recent post on our MS-Chariot meeting at which she interviewed DrK as a Shift.ms reporter. RMH would now like to reach-out to wider MS community for help. 



Hi


I am a journalist, with RRMS, doing an article about those with advanced MS in the UK. As part of the article I would like to speak to those with advanced MS and get your views – both positive and negative – about your experience dealing with the UK MS Society, MS Trust, NHS, MS researchers and other MS stakeholders. Do you feel the various stakeholders includes/reaches out to those with advanced MS as much as those with RRMS?


Many thanks in advance.

RMH


If you are willing to help can you please leave your contact details in the following online form so that Rachel can contact you to set-up an interview. Thanks.

#ResearchSpeak & #ClinicSpeak: Anti-drug antibodies – how important are they?

Anti-drug antibodies are a major problem in clinical practice and are important for safety and efficacy reasons. #ResearchSpeak #ClinicSpeak #MSBlog



How important are anti-drug antibodies in relation to biological therapies, in particular neutralising antibodies to the monoclonal therapies used to treat MS?

This problem was defined in rheumatology with the monoclonal antibodies targeting TNF-alpha. Infliximab the initial anti-TNF monoclonal is so immunogenic that it has to be used in combination with another immunosuppressive, typically methotrexate or azathioprine, to try and prevent NABs. In comparison, the incidence of NABs on the newer generation anti-TNFs, for example adalimumab, is much lower.

Anti-drug antibodies (ADA), in particular neutralising antibodies (NABs), to the anti-CD20 monoclonals will become increasingly important. In the Swedish study below the incidence of ADAs to rituximab was between 26-37% with some evidence that at least a proportion are neutralizing. The NAb rate to rituximab is known to be in the range of 6-9% compared to 0.2-0.5% for ocrelizumab and ~0% on ofatumumab (Phase 2 trial). We know that NABs are a major problem with biologicals in terms of both efficacy and safety. I would therefore predict that as in other areas, such as the anti-TNF-alphas, NABs will be a major differentiator amongst the anti-CD20s; this won’t be simply for marketing reasons, but it will be driven by efficacy and patient safety concerns. NABs blunt efficacy and are a common cause of treatment failure, and are also responsible for infusion reactions. Just ask any pwMS who has been unfortunate enough to develop anti-natalizumab antibodies.

We also have evidence that NABs are a major problem with alemtuzumab as well. We are setting-up an anti-alemtuzumab antibody assay and will soon be using this assay in clinical practice and will make it available for other groups to use. We hope to extend our panel of NAB testing from anti-natalizumab and anti-alemtuzumab antibodies to include anti-rituximab and anti-ocrelizumab binding and neutralising antibodies. Knowing who has NABs affects clinical practice, in particular patient safety.

Dunn et al. Rituximab in multiple sclerosis: Frequency and clinical relevance of anti-drug antibodies. Mult Scler. 2017 Jul 1:1352458517720044.

BACKGROUND: Rituximab is a chimeric monoclonal anti-CD20 B-cell-depleting antibody increasingly used off-label in multiple sclerosis (MS). The clinical relevance of anti-drug antibodies (ADAs) against rituximab in MS is unknown.

OBJECTIVE: To determine frequency of ADA in relation to B-cell counts, allergic reactions and clinical efficacy in a large cohort of MS-treated patients.

METHODS: Cross-sectional study with collection of serum samples from 339 MS patients immediately before a scheduled rituximab infusion. ADAs were detected using an in-house-validated electrochemiluminescent immunoassay and a commercial enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) to compare methods. Data on patient demographics and clinical outcomes were retrieved from the Swedish MS Registry and patient records.

RESULTS: ADAs were detected in 37% of relapsing-remitting MS and 26% in progressive forms of MS. Presence of ADAs decreased with increasing number of rituximab infusions. There was a significant association between both presence and titres of ADAs and incomplete B-cell depletion, but not with infusion/adverse reactions or clinical outcomes at the group level. Only five patients terminated rituximab during follow-up, four of which were ADA positive.

CONCLUSION: Rituximab treatment is associated with a high degree of ADAs, which correlates with efficacy of B-cell depletion; however, the clinical relevance of ADAs remains uncertain.

CoI: multiple

#GuestPost: MS in South America

Are you interested in a MS fellowship at #BartsMS? #GuestPost


Over the last few years we have been privileged, at Barts-MS, to have the opportunity to host many young neurologists from across the world on our fellowship training programme(s). It gives me great pleasure to welcome Saúl Reyes from Bogota, Colombia, to London. Saúl will be helping us investigate inequality in the NHS; i.e. do some sectors of the population game the system to get what they want in relation to the treatment of their MS? The corollary being are we neglecting some people with MS?